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What could outsourcing bring to Bulgaria in an enlarged Europe?

Diplomarbeit
Diplomarbeit von Plamen Alexandroff ; Abgabe Dezember 2005; 195 Seiten, 1,5 MB ; Note 1,0; Sprache Englisch
Universität Rousse Bulgarien
Inhaltsangabe, Inhaltsverzeichnis und Textauszüge:

Abstract:

Today there are numerous examples for the power of globalization. It brings together people living thousands of miles away from each other through the technology of Internet; allows them to taste fruits from the other side of the Earth; makes them feel the consequences from events that do not have a direct impact on their lives. The signs demonstrating the spread of economic globalization are more and more with each day and they could be noticed on wider and wider areas on the planet.

Global trade has proliferated, driven by individuals, huge multinational companies and countries. But so has done also the flow of capital and humans across the world, both in search of attractive places. The ever more complex system of international relations in each sphere is more and more controlled by international organizations, encompassing most of the countries in the world. Among these, the leading role has the World Bank, the World Trade Organization and the International Monetary Fund.

But in these international bodies the leading role is played by trade groupings such as the EU or super-powers such as the USA. The least developed countries are isolated and suppressed by these super-blocs or –powers. Another major actor in the globalization process – the multinational company – has spurred the anger of ordinary people with its blunt behavior and no respect for the environment. For these reasons has emerged the antiglobalization movement, which is growing more and more.

The process of globalization has brought wealth to some and even deeper poverty to others, showing that it could offer many dangers but also many opportunities for the economic development of the countries. One of these opportunities is the offshore outsourcing. It could be defined as the process of entrusting a partner in a foreign with a complex long-term mission, defined in terms of results. Outsourcing in the manufacturing sector is nothing new and it has existed ever since the appearance of the first big companies in the beginning of the 20th century.

But in the last decade or so offshore outsourcing operations in the services sector have started to proliferate more and more, boosted by the emergence of the Internet, the modern means of communication and computer technology.

There could be defined several major types of outsourcing according to various criteria. A first group could be distinguished in accordance with the subject of the outsourced activities. Another one could be according to the level of commitment of the provider. The last group could be defined in terms of level of complexity.

With the growth of the offshore outsourcing industry there could be heard more and more protectionist voices in the client countries pleading for putting some limits to the unrestricted outsourcing trend in the services sector, which can affect negatively the life of an individual in a span of just 5-10 years. There is a big debate in the developed countries concerning the potential gains and losses from offshore outsourcing. But the empirical evidence demonstrates clearly that the fears are overestimated and actually offshore outsourcing is a powerful source for improving the efficiency of the economy and increasing the consumer welfare. The gains from offshore outsourcing are shared between the client and the supplier countries, so it is not a zero-sum but rather a win-win game. It brings higher productivity, better-paid jobs, increased consumer welfare and enhanced exports for the client countries and bigger employment, wages, exports, government revenues, etc. for the supplying country.

However, in order to get the fruits of outsourcing there should be available some preconditions. For the home (client) country these are flexible labor markets with a shortage of specific types of professionals; wage differences from the supplier country; liberal regulations and proper activities that could allow offshore outsourcing. The factors in the potential location for outsourcing are advantageous cost structure; sufficient labor pool; availability of skills and languages proficiency; proper infrastructure; protection of intellectual property and data security; government support activities, etc.

The examined empirical evidence from the major outsourcing suppliers suggests that this trend could also help Bulgaria in solving some of its main economic problems, connected to its coming accession to the European Union. Generally these problems could be summed up with the term „catching up” and they cover all areas of life. Some of the sharpest economic problems of the country are the very low living standard and wages; inadequate capacity to resist strong competition; high unemployment; and the lagging behind in technology, environmental protection; general efficiency of the economy, etc.

However, in order to understand how Bulgaria is positioned in relation to other outsourcing suppliers, an analysis of its main strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats, as well as such of the major trends in social, technological, economic and political area is needed. Such analyses reveal that the country is relatively well-suited to develop successfully as an outsourcing supplier, especially in comparison to most of the current European suppliers. A further analysis of the possible impact of the European policies in the relevant areas tells that given the current trends and situation of the economy, Bulgaria should orient towards developing outsourcing capability in the services sector, since it is much more competitive than the other sectors of the economy.

A demonstration of the potential benefits from developing as an outsourcing destination could be found in the software and related services sector, which is working mainly on sub-contracting/outsourcing basis and with very high export intensity of about 80%. The developed three scenarios for the next five years show that the gains only from this small sector of the Bulgarian economy could be relatively big, given the present development and much bigger in case the government adopts a more proactive and supportive approach. Here are some examples:

Between $150 – 600 million worth of exports in 2008.

Between 180,000 – 260,000 of total employment generated.

Between $810 – 4,150 million of total contribution to the GDP of the country.

Some other sectors that are relatively well-suited to develop offshore outsourcing capabilities could be found in the industry. The emergence of Bulgaria as a European supplier in at least two or three of these sectors would generate immense benefits for the economic development of the country and would allow it to catch up with the average level in the EU in relatively short period, when compared to the present-day pace. The benefits that outsourcing could bring to Bulgaria are the same as those that it has already brought to other supplier countries – bigger GDP, wages, exports, government revenues; enhanced infrastructure, human resources competitiveness, stability in the country, etc.

On the micro-level it would encourage the participating companies to invest more in training and education of their staff; increase the motivation of employees; bring improvement in the quality of the delivered products or services. However, the most profound change on the micro-level would be the spread of outsourcing on the local level among indigenous companies. So, developing as an outsourcing destination could have the potential to make Bulgaria a more efficient and finally more competitive economy, able to find its own place under the sun of the European Union.

Table of Contents:

CHAPTER 1 GLOBALIZATION – A DECESIVE POWER TODAY 6
Introduction 6
1. Definition of Globalization 7
2. Signs of globalization 10
2.1 Increased role of the international organizations and treaties 10
2.2 Reduction of Tariffs 12
2.3 Increased role of transnational corporations 12
2.4 Increased trade flows 13
2.5 Increased capital flows 15
2.5.1 Foreign direct investment 15
2.5.2 International financial assistance 16
2.6 Labor flows and remittances 16
2.7 Regional blocs and trade agreements 18
2.8 International tourist flows 18
2.9 Spread of information and communication 19
3. Forms of Economic Globalization 20
3.1 At the company level 20
3.1.1 Functional forms 20
3.1.2 Forms according to their scope 22
3.2 At the country level 24
4. Driving Forces, History and Major Actors Today 28
4.1 The first wave – the early empires 29
4.2 The second wave – the Age of Discoveries 30
4.3 The third wave – the Industrial Revolution 31
4.4 The forth wave – the Information Revolution 33
4.5 The current situation and the main actors 38
4.5.1 The World Trade Organization 40
4.5.2 The International Monetary Fund 47
4.5.3 The World Bank 49
4.5.4 Regional trade agreements and individual countries 49
4.5.4.1 The European Union 50
4.5.4.2 Other trade groupings 53
4.5.4.3 The United States of America 54
4.5.4.4 Japan 57
4.5.5 The transnational corporations 58
4.5.6 The antiglobalization movement 60
CHAPTER 2 OUTSOURCING 64
1. Definition and Distinction from Similar Concepts 64
2. Development and Forms of Outsourcing 66
2.1 Some history 67
2.2 Types of outsourcing 71
3. The Debate on Outsourcing 72
3.1 Home country case 73
3.1.1 The theory… 73
3.1.2 … and the reality – the example of the USA 80
Cost savings 80
Labor market effects 81
Effects on productivity 84
Effects on consumer welfare 85
Effects on exports 86
3.2 Host country case 87
3.2.1 The theory… 87
Direct effects 87
Indirect effects – spillovers 92
3.2.2 … and the reality – India and its emerging competitors 94
Employment effects 95
Effect on output and exports 98
Effect on wages 101
Government revenues 103
Competitiveness of human resources 104
Effect on infrastructure 105
Effect on country reputation 107
Effect on the stability in the country 108
4. Necessary Factors for Outsourcing 109
4.1 Factors in the client country 109
Labor market factors 109
Regulatory framework 109
Nature of the outsourced activities 110
4.2 Factors in the supplier country 110
Cost advantage 110
Sufficient labor pool 110
Availability of skills 110
Language proficiency 111
Infrastructure 111
Security and protection of intellectual property 111
Cultural compatibility 111
Time zone differences 111
Legal framework and government support 112
CHAPTER 3 OUTSOURCING AND BULGARIA 113
1. Bulgaria and Its Future Accession to the EU – Related Economic Problems 113
1.1 Copenhagen economic criteria 114
Existence of a functioning market economy 114
Capacity to cope with competitive pressure and market forces within the Union 115
1.2 Maastricht criteria 117
1.3 The Lisbon targets 118
2. SWOT and STEP Analysis of Bulgaria 122
2.1 SWOT analysis 122
Strengths 123
Opportunities 129
Weaknesses 131
Threats 133
2.2 STEP analysis 134
Social trends 134
Technological trends 136
Economic trends 137
Political trends 139
3. The Policies of the EU and Their Possible Impact on Bulgaria 141
3.1 Competition 141
3.2 Consumer protection 143
3.3 Monetary policy 144
3.4 Customs 145
3.5 Education and training 145
3.6 Employment and social affairs 146
3.7 Energy 147
3.8 Enterprises 149
3.9 Environment 150
3.10 External trade 150
3.11 Information society 151
3.12 The Internal Market 152
3.13 Health 154
3.14 Regional policy 155
3.15 Technology 155
3.16 Taxation 156
3.17 Transport 156
4. Potential Effects from Developing Offshore Outsourcing Capability 157
4.1 The case study – the software and related services industry 158
4.2 The macroeconomic dimension 158
4.3 Possible microeconomic effects 162
4.4 Other impact 163
Social 163
Technological 164
Political 164
CONCLUSION 165
APPENDIX 1 OUTSOURCING IN EUROPE – MAIN SUPPLIERS AND HOW DID IT HELP THEM IN SOLVIGN THEIR PROBLEMS 167
APPENDIX 2 TABLES 175
APPENDIX 3 FIGURES 185
BIBLIOGRAPHY 190

Link zur Arbeit: http://www.diplom.de/katalog/arbeit/9766
Arbeit zitieren: Alexandroff, Plamen Dezember 2005: What could outsourcing bring to Bulgaria in an enlarged Europe?, Hamburg: Diplomica Verlag
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